El Niño was first identified in the 19th century when unusually high Pacific Ocean temperatures made fishing scarce and intense rainfall led to major coastal flooding near regions of Peru and Ecuador.
El Niño is now present in the tropical Pacific Ocean and continuing to strengthen. Currently, El Niño is the largest it has been since 1998. If predictions are correct and water temperatures exceed 2°C above average, it will place 2015/2016 El Niño amongst the strongest since 1950.
According to an article by Michelle L. Heureux a NOAA CPC, predictions of above average precipitation has increased from 33% to 60%. National Weather Services is predicting that there is a 90% chance that El Niño will last well into the winter.
So why all the fuss about El Niño? Well… El Niño is the warm weather phase of El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and ENSO is the single most influential climate phenomena. ENSO has the ability to impact precipitation and temperatures across the globe.
The atmospheric anomalies provide evidence that El Niño is strengthening and will continue to develop. The strongest El Niño’s of past years have had very consistent patterns.
Weakened trade winds, increased Sea Surface Temperatures (SST) and migrating ocean life are all indicating that another Super El Niño is in store for us this winter.
Get your properties ready, the signs are here! Many Nevada property owners are already having trouble even getting an appointment with a reputable roofing contractor as many are already booked well into next year.